The E-axes Forum on Climate Change, Macroeconomics, and Finance

Carbon Policy, Inequality, and the Macroeconomics of the Green Transition

Alessandro Sardone (Halle Institute for Economic Research) examines how, despite the EU’s unwavering commitment to net-zero by 2050 and carbon pricing as its central policy instrument, the macroeconomic and distributional consequences of the transition remain poorly understood — particularly how rising energy costs ripple through production, inflation, and household incomes across income groups, and how policy design ultimately shapes these dynamics.

Picking Up the PACE: Loans for Residential Climate-Proofing

Honorable Mention from the 2025 E-Axes Forum Research Committee

Aymeric Bellon (UNC Kenan Flager), Cameron LaPoint (Yale), Francesco Mazzola (ESCP) and Guosong Xu (Rotterdam School of Management) examine the Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) loan program

Systemic Climate Risk

Honorable Mention from the 2024 E-Axes Forum Research Committee

Tristan Jourde (Banque de France) and Quentin Moreau (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) introduce a market-based framework for assessing how extreme climate risks affect the financial sector and for monitoring exposures to both physical and transition risks in near real time.

U.S. Banks’ Exposures to Climate Transition Risks

Climate change can pose risks to banks through the transition to a low-carbon economy. Hyeyoon Jung (New York Federal Reserve Bank) and her co-authors João A.C. Santos (New York Federal Reserve Bank), and Lee Seltzer (New York Federal Reserve Bank) in their new paper investigate the impact of climate transition policies on U.S. banks’ credit risk. Their results are surprising.

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