Publications

Likely emissions pathways in the 21st century

Frances Moore (UC Davis) has selected recent research that attempts to estimate the likelihood of different greenhouse gas emission pathways. Taking into account the socio-political-technical processes that influence these trajectories, evidence suggests that warming by 2100 will likely be in the 2-3 degree range, with either very high (4-5 degrees) or low (<2 degrees) warming much less likely.

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