The E-axes Forum on Climate Change, Macroeconomics, and Finance

Publications

João F. Cocco (LBS, CEPR), Bernardo Mendes (LBS) and S. Lakshmi Naaraayanan (LBS, CEPR) examine the true drivers of green financing programs such as green mortgages. Are they real drivers of energy efficiency or marketing instruments?...
Jacopo Ponticelli (Nortwestern University), Qiping Xu (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign) and Stefan Zeume (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Gies College of Business) show that extreme temperatures between 1980s and 2010s jointly increased energy costs and decreased productivity of small manufacturing plants in the U.S. ...
Levi Crews (UCLA) shows how global agricultural trade substantially reduces water extraction worldwide by concentrating water-intensive production in water-abundant regions. Yet because water markets are distorted and access is largely open, the water consequences of trade policy depend critically on where production moves, making blanket trade restrictions neither a reliable nor general solution to water scarcity.
Charles Manski (Northwestern University) discusses how credible climate policy requires honestly confronting deep uncertainty, about climate models, economic damages, and discount rates, rather than becoming entrenched in opposing ideologies. Welfare economics provides the rigorous framework needed to transparently quantify the tradeoffs between abatement costs and climate damages.
Maxwell Sacher (McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin) and Shikhar Singla (McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin) estimate the expected impact of biodiversity policy by exploiting an increase in policy risk from the Biden administration’s proposed “30x30” plan, which aimed to significantly increase the amount of protected land by 2030.
Honorable Mention from the 2025 E-Axes Forum Research Committee
Aymeric Bellon (UNC Kenan Flager), Cameron LaPoint (Yale), Francesco Mazzola (ESCP) and Guosong Xu (Rotterdam School of Management) examine the Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) loan program
Parinitha Sastry (Columbia Business School), Therese Scharlemann (Federal Reserve Board), Ishita Sen (Harvard Business School), Ana-Maria Tenekedjievia (Federal Reserve Board) use a unique dataset linking individual mortgage and insurance contracts with borrower, property, and climate risk data from 2013–2022,to quantify the extent of underinsurance of climate risk in the USA.
Marina Emiris (National Bank of Belgium), Joanna Harris (University of Chicago) and François Koulischer (University of Luxembourg) use new data on securities holdings in Europe to test these channels, focusing on the introduction of ESG disclosure rules for mutual funds.
Luca Taschini (University of Edinburg Business School, LSE) and Atreya Dey (University of Edinburg Business School) find that increased temperature variability, rather than average temperature changes, materially impacts returns and profitability for firms located in the US.
Honorable Mention from the 2024 E-Axes Forum Research Committee
Tristan Jourde (Banque de France) and Quentin Moreau (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) introduce a market-based framework for assessing how extreme climate risks affect the financial sector and for monitoring exposures to both physical and transition risks in near real time.

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