The E-axes Forum on Climate Change, Macroeconomics, and Finance

Tuomas Tomunen

“Is Physical Climate Risk Priced? Evidence from Regional Variation in Exposure to Heat Stress”

Young Scholars' Webinar on Climate Finance and Economics

From the abstract:

We exploit regional variations in exposure to heat stress to study if physical climate risk is priced in municipal and corporate bonds as well as in equity markets. We find that local exposure to damages related to heat stress equaling 1% of GDP is associated with municipal bond yield spreads that are higher by around 15 basis points per annum (bps), the effect being larger for longer-term, revenue-only and lower-rated bonds, and arising mainly from the expected increase in energy expenditures and decrease in labor productivity. Among S&P 500 companies, one standard deviation increase in exposure to heat stress is associated with yield spreads that are higher by around 40 bps for subinvestment grade corporate bonds, with little effect for investment grade bond spreads, and with conditional expected returns on stocks that are higher by around 45 bps. These results are (i) observed robustly only starting in 2013–15, (ii) mostly absent for physical risks other than exposure to heat stress, and (iii) consistent with the class of macroeconomic models where climate change has a direct and large negative impact on aggregate consumption.

Moderator:

Michael Barnett
Assistant Professor of Finance, Arizona State University – W. P. Carey School of Business

Organizing Committee

Michael Barnett, Arizona State University
Diego Känzig, Northwestern University
Alissa M. Kleinnijenhuis, Imperial College Business School
Ishita Sen, Harvard Business School

Tuomas Tomunen

Tuomas Tomunen is an Assistant Professor of Finance at Boston College Carroll School of Management. His primary research interests are asset pricing, financial intermediation, insurance markets, and climate finance. His current work focuses on understanding the role of financial markets in mitigating the effects of climate change on the society. He received his Ph.D. in Finance from Columbia Business School.

Paper and slides

Is Physical Climate Risk Priced? Evidence from Regional Variation in Exposure to Heat Stress (Paper)

Is Physical Climate Risk Priced? Evidence from Regional Variation in Exposure to Heat Stress (Slides)

Tags

Share

Related Webinars

Policy
September 9, 2024
Catherine D. Wolfram
Professor of Energy Economics
MIT Sloan School of Management
Research
June 18, 2024
Zacharias Sautner
Professor of Sustainable Finance
University of Zurich
Research
June 10, 2024
Eric Jondeau
Professor of Finance
HEC Lausanne

Upload Research

  • Accepted file types: pdf, Max. file size: 50 MB.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Donate Now